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Tropical Storm ISAIAS (Text)


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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Isaias Advisory Number  29
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092020
500 AM EDT Tue Aug 04 2020
 
...CENTER OF ISAIAS NEARING SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...
...STRONG WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL 
SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST THIS MORNING...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.3N 77.5W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SE OF ROANOKE RAPIDS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM WSW OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
All warnings have been discontinued for the coast of North
Carolina south of Surf City.
 
The Storm Surge Watch south of Surf City has also been discontinued.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds, including the Neuse and Pamlico
Rivers
* Ocracoke Inlet North Carolina to the North Carolina/Virginia
border
 
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Surf City to Ocracoke Inlet North Carolina
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North of Surf City North Carolina to Eastport Maine
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
* Chesapeake Bay
* Tidal Potomac River
* Delaware Bay
* Long Island and Long Island Sound
* Martha's Vineyard, Nantucket, and Block Island
 
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning
Graphic at hurricanes.gov.  This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary
actions to protect life and property from rising water and the
potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow
evacuation and other instructions from local officials.
 
A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, generally within 36
hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Isaias was
located over northeastern North Carolina near latitude 36.3 North, 
longitude 77.5 West. Isaias is moving toward the north-northeast 
near 28 mph (44 km/h), and this general motion accompanied by some 
additional increase in forward speed is expected through today. On 
the forecast track, the center of Isaias will to move into 
southeastern Virginia early this morning, near or along the coast of 
the mid-Atlantic states today, and across the northeastern United 
States into southern Canada tonight. 
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Only gradual weakening is anticipated while Isaias moves
north-northeastward near the mid-Atlantic coast today.  A faster 
rate of weakening is expected to begin tonight, and the system is 
forecast to become post-tropical tonight or early Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.  Sustained winds of 48 mph (78 km/h) and a gust to 
63 mph (102 km/h) was recently reported at Duck, North Carolina.  
Sustained winds of 39 mph (63 km/h) and a gust to 56 mph (91 km/h) 
were also reported at Poquoson, Virginia.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Isaias can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4, WMO header WTNT44 KNHC,
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml.
 
STORM SURGE:  The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
 
Little River Inlet SC to Surf City NC...1-2 ft

Surf City to Ocracoke Inlet NC...2-4 ft 

Ocracoke Inlet to the North Carolina/Virginia border including
Pamlico Sound, Albemarle Sound, Neuse and Pamlico Rivers...3-5 ft
 
North of the North Carolina/Virginia border to Martha's Vineyard
including the Chesapeake Bay, the Tidal Potomac River, Delaware Bay,
Long Island Sound, Block Island Sound, Narragansett Bay, Buzzards
Bay, and Vineyard Sound...1-3 ft
 
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large waves.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.
For information specific to your area, please see products issued
by your local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
WIND:  Widespread tropical-storm conditions are expected in the
tropical storm warning area from coastal North Carolina through the
mid-Atlantic states, including portions of the Chesapeake Bay region
today, with wind gusts to hurricane force possible.  These winds
could cause tree damage and power outages.
 
Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach southern New
England this afternoon and northern New England tonight.
 
Gale-force winds are expected to spread into southeastern Quebec
tonight and Wednesday.  See products issued by Environment
Canada for more information.
 
RAINFALL:  The following rainfall accumulations are expected along 
and near the track of Isaias:

Central and eastern North Carolina into the Mid-Atlantic: 3 to 6 
inches, isolated maximum totals 8 inches.

Eastern New York into Vermont: 2 to 4 inches, isolated maximum 
totals 6 inches.

Western Connecticut, western Massachusetts, New Hampshire and 
western Maine: 1 to 3 inches.

Heavy rainfall along the East Coast, near the path of Isaias, will 
result in flash and urban flooding, some of which may be significant 
in North Carolina through the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast through 
tonight. Potentially life-threatening urban flooding is possible in 
D.C., Baltimore, and elsewhere along and just west of the I-95 
corridor today. Widespread minor to moderate river flooding is 
likely across portions of the Carolinas and the Mid-Atlantic. 
Quick-responding rivers in the Northeast will also be susceptible 
to minor river flooding.
 
TORNADOES:  Tornadoes are most likely through midday from southeast
Virginia to New Jersey. Tornadoes will remain possible this
afternoon and evening from southeast New York across New England.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Isaias are affecting portions of the
southeast coast of the United States and will spread northward
along the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts of the United States
today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Brown/Berg
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Wednesday, 21-Oct-2020 12:09:38 UTC