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TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092020
1500 UTC SUN AUG 02 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
FROM NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE 
SOUNDS.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND FOR 
LAKE OKEECHOBEE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
THE STORM SURGE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JUPITER INLET FLORIDA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAIAS.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES
OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  79.6W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  30SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  79.6W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  79.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 28.0N  80.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 29.6N  80.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 32.2N  79.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 35.7N  77.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 40.1N  74.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 44.6N  70.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 110SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 51.7N  63.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N  79.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 02/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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