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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092020
2100 UTC WED JUL 29 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* ANGUILLA
* ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ENTIRE SOUTHERN AND NORTHERN COASTLINES
* NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS EASTWARD TO THE
NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG
CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  65.6W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......240NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  65.6W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  64.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.5N  68.1W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...210NE  40SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 19.2N  71.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE  40SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 20.9N  74.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE  40SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 22.3N  76.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE  50SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.6N  78.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.5N  80.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 28.6N  82.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 31.5N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  65.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 30/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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