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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092020
2100 UTC TUE JUL 28 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FROM CABO CAUCEDO NORTHWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST
OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* GUADELOUPE...MARTINIQUE...ST. MARTIN...AND ST. BARTHELEMY
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* DOMINICA
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO CAUCEDO NORTHWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN
COAST TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC/HAITI BORDER
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA...THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND THE
SOUTHEAST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  55.9W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  90 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......200NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  55.9W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  54.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.4N  58.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE   0SE   0SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.7N  62.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE   0SE   0SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.2N  66.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE  60SE   0SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 19.7N  69.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...210NE  90SE   0SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 20.9N  72.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...210NE  90SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 22.2N  75.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE  80SE   0SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 24.7N  79.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 27.0N  81.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N  55.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 29/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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