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TROPICAL STORM GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072020
1500 UTC WED JUL 22 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.9N  43.6W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.9N  43.6W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.9N  43.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 10.0N  45.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 10.0N  47.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 10.1N  50.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 10.4N  52.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 10.7N  55.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 11.4N  58.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 13.0N  66.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 15.0N  71.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.9N  43.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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