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TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032020
2100 UTC SAT JUN 06 2020
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
APALACHICOLA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WHITING FLD FL 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X 3( 3) 8(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 12 10(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
MOBILE AL 34 1 8( 9) 15(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
GULFPORT MS 34 1 22(23) 22(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
STENNIS MS 34 1 32(33) 26(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
BURAS LA 34 9 63(72) 8(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
BURAS LA 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 72 15(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
GFMX 280N 890W 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
JACKSON MS 34 X 2( 2) 23(25) 7(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 2 47(49) 28(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 68 21(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
GFMX 280N 910W 50 X 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
GFMX 280N 910W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 1 20(21) 38(59) 2(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 2 43(45) 26(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 1( 1) 20(21) 5(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 9( 9) 28(37) 2(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 1 15(16) 27(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 6 7(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
FORT POLK LA 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
LAKE CHARLES 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
CAMERON LA 34 1 6( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
JASPER TX 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
KOUNTZE TX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GALVESTON TX 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PENSACOLA NAS 34 2 13(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
KEESLER AB 34 5 25(30) 14(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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