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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020
100 AM CDT Wed Jun 03 2020
 
...CRISTOBAL STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE WHILE IT CREEPS SLOWLY
SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE COAST OF MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAIN AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING THREAT CONTINUES...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...19.0N 92.1W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM NW OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 145 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Campeche to Puerto de Veracruz
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was
located near latitude 19.0 North, longitude 92.1 West. Cristobal is
moving toward the southeast near 2 mph (4 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue this morning, followed by turn toward
the east this afternoon. A motion toward the north-northeast and
north is expected on Thursday and Friday. On the forecast track, the
center will cross the southern Bay of Campeche coast later today.
and move inland over eastern Mexico tonight and Thursday. The center
is forecast to move back over the Bay of Campeche Thursday night and
Friday.
 
Nearby surface observations indicate that maximum sustained winds
have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.  Some
additional increase in strength is possible until the center crosses
the coast.  Gradual weakening is forecast while the center remains
inland, but restrengthening is expected after Cristobal moves back
over water Thursday night and Friday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure based on nearby surface
observations is 994 mb (29.35 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml
 
RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 10 to 20 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 25 inches over
parts of the Mexican states of Tabasco and Campeche.  Cristobal is
also expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 15 inches
over parts of the Mexican states of Chiapas, Veracruz, Quintana Roo,
Yucatan and Oaxaca.  Additional rainfall of 10 to 15 inches, with
isolated amounts of 25 inches, is expected along the Pacific coasts
of Chiapas, Guatemala, and El Salvador. Some of these Pacific
locations received 20 inches of rain over the weekend, and storm
total amounts of 35 inches are possible. Rainfall of 3 to 6 inches,
with isolated amounts of 10 inches, is expected across portions of
Honduras and Belize.  Rainfall in all of these areas may produce
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are affecting the coast within
portions of the warning area.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Stewart
 
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