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TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012020
0300 UTC TUE MAY 19 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.4N  72.4W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE   0SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.4N  72.4W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.2N  73.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.9N  70.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 36.4N  67.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  90SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 35.2N  65.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...190NE  90SE  90SW 190NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 33.7N  64.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...170NE  60SE  60SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 32.3N  64.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...140NE   0SE   0SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 30.9N  64.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.4N  72.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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