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TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012020
0300 UTC MON MAY 18 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SURF CITY TO DUCK NC
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N  76.9W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N  76.9W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  77.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 34.0N  75.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 35.8N  73.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 120SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.4N  70.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 36.0N  67.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  70SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 35.0N  66.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  70SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 33.8N  64.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE  60SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 31.6N  62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.4N  76.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 18/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/BERG
 
 
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