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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Raymond Advisory Number  10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202019
200 AM MST Sun Nov 17 2019

...RAYMOND WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
...RAIN HEADING TOWARD THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 111.6W
ABOUT 390 MI...625 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the southern Baja California peninsula should monitor
the progress of Raymond.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Raymond
was located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 111.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). A
faster motion toward the north or north-northeast is expected
today, and a turn toward the north-northwest is expected tonight
and Monday. On the forecast track, Raymond or its remnants are
expected to move near the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula Sunday night or early Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast, and Raymond is
expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Sunday night or early
Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Raymond is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches across the southern portions of Baja
California Sur with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. This
rainfall may produce life threatening flash floods.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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