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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Raymond Advisory Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202019
800 PM MST Sat Nov 16 2019

...RAYMOND SLOWLY WEAKENING...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 112.1W
ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the southern Baja California peninsula should monitor
the progress of Raymond.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Raymond was
located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 112.1 West. Raymond is
moving toward the north-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn
toward the north and a faster forward speed are expected later
tonight or early Sunday, and a turn toward the north-northwest is
expected Sunday night and Monday.  On the forecast track, Raymond or
its remnants are expected to move near the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula late Sunday or early Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast, and Raymond is
expected to become a tropical depression when it nears the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula late Sunday, and it should
degenerate into a remnant low Sunday night or Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
mainly to the east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Raymond is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches across the southern portions of Baja
California Sur with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. This
rainfall may produce life threatening flash floods.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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