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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Raymond Advisory Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202019
200 PM MST Sat Nov 16 2019

...RAYMOND ALREADY SHOWING SIGNS OF WEAKENING...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 111.8W
ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the southern Baja California peninsula should monitor
the progress of Raymond.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Raymond was
located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 111.8 West. Raymond
has been moving little or drifting northward during the past few
hours. However, the cyclone should begin a northward track with
an increase in forward speed later tonight and Sunday. On the
forecast track, Raymond or its remnants are expected to move near
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula late Sunday or
early Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast and Raymond is expected to become a tropical
depression when it nears the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula late Sunday, and it should degenerate into a remnant low
on Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
to the north and east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Raymond is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches across the southern portions of Baja
California Sur with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. This
rainfall may produce life threatening flash floods.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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