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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Raymond Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202019
800 AM MST Sat Nov 16 2019

...RAYMOND FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 111.7W
ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the southern Baja California peninsula should monitor
the progress of Raymond.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Raymond was
located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 111.7 West. Raymond is
moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue trough Sunday. On the forecast track, Raymond
or its remnants are expected to move near the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula late Sunday or early Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Weakening is
forecast and Raymond is expected to become a tropical depression
when it nears the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula late
Sunday and should degenerate into a remnant low on Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
to the north and east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Raymond is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches across the southern portions of Baja
California Sur with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. This
rainfall may produce life threatening flash floods.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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