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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Raymond Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202019
800 PM MST Fri Nov 15 2019

...RAYMOND MAINTAINS INTENSITY AS IT CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...15.4N 109.8W
ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the southern Baja California peninsula should monitor
the progress of Raymond.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Raymond was
located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 109.8 West. Raymond is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn to the
north is expected on Saturday, and this general motion is expected
to continue for a couple of days. On the forecast track, the center
of Raymond is expected to be near the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula late Sunday or early Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is forecast through early Saturday,
followed by a gradual weakening trend beginning by Saturday night.
Raymond is then expected to degenerate into a remnant low on Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Raymond is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches across the southern portions of Baja
California Sur with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. This
rainfall may produce life threatening flash floods.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.

$$
Forecaster Latto

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