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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Raymond Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202019
800 AM MST Fri Nov 15 2019

...TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND STRENGTHENING OVER THE EAST PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 108.8W
ABOUT 610 MI...985 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the southern Baja California peninsula should monitor
the progress of Raymond.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Raymond was
located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 108.8 West. Raymond is
moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this
general motion with a slight increase in forward speed is expected
through today. A turn toward the north or north-northeast is
forecast by late Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is anticipated
during the next day or so. Weakening is forecast to occur by
Sunday, and the system is predicted to degenerate into a remnant
low by late Sunday or early Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Raymond is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches across the southern portions of
Baja California Sur. This rainfall could produce life-threatening
flash floods.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

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