ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E Special Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172019 100 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019 Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that the disturbance has become less organized, and there is no sign of a new center forming offshore at this time. So, while there is still a small chance that the system could form into a tropical cyclone, the system no longer poses a threat of bringing tropical-storm conditions to the coast of Mexico, and this special advisory is being issued to discontinue the tropical storm watch for the coast of Mexico. The disturbance should continue to interact with the mountains of southern Mexico during the next day or so, which should most likely cause its dissipation after 12 h. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system unless the threat of tropical storm conditions increases along the coast of Mexico. However, the heavy rainfall threat, as well as the potential for flash flooding and mudslides in southern Mexico, should continue for the next day or two. Please refer to forecasts and warnings from the Meteorological Service of Mexico for more information on this ongoing threat. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/1800Z 16.6N 96.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE 12H 17/0000Z 17.3N 97.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND 24H 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven NNNN
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