ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Narda
Intermediate Advisory Number 12A...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP162019
600 AM MDT Tue Oct 01 2019

Corrected classification of Narda in discussion and outlook section

...NARDA BECOMES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
...HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS
NORTHERN MEXICO AND INTO THE SOUTH-CENTRAL UNITED STATES...


SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.1N 110.1W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM NW OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SE OF GUAYMAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
warning for the northwestern coast of mainland Mexico.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Narda
was located near latitude 27.1 North, longitude 110.1 West.  Narda
is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). Narda is
forecast to continue moving along the northwestern coast of mainland
Mexico this morning.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
with higher gusts. The wind circulation of Narda will likely
dissipate later today, however moisture associated with Narda's
remnants will continue to spread northward over northwestern Mexico
and the southwestern U.S. during the next couple of days. This
moisture could cause heavy rainfall and flash flooding.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Gusty conditions are possible along the coast this morning.
These winds should diminish through the day.

RAINFALL:  Narda is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through today:

Sinaloa...Additional 1 to 2 inches, isolated storm totals 10 to 15
inches.

Chihuahua...1 to 3 inches.

Sonora...1 to 2 inches.

Heavy rain that fell in Sinaloa Monday night may cause flooding
today.  Otherwise, new rainfall may cause isolated flash flooding
over northwest Mexico.

Moisture from Narda will spread northeastward across portions of the
U.S. Southern Plains for the next few days, enhancing rainfall and
the threat for flash flooding in those areas. For additional
information, please see excessive rainfall products issued by the
NOAA Weather Prediction Center at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml.

SURF:  Swells generated by Narda are affecting portions of the
coast of southwestern Mexico.  These swells are expected to spread
northward and will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions along the west coast of mainland Mexico, along
the east coast of Baja California Sur, and in the Islas Marias
archipelago.  Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

NNNN