Tropical Storm NARDA

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TROPICAL STORM NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162019
0300 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO CABO CORRIENTES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 100.6W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 100.6W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 100.3W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.7N 101.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 120SE  60SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.3N 103.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  90SE  60SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.3N 105.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.2N 107.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.9N 109.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 25.5N 109.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 26.5N 110.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 100.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 29/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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