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HURRICANE LORENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152019
1500 UTC FRI SEP 20 2019
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LORENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
P ABREOJOS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 87 6(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 50 9(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 15 6(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 64 5(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 17 5(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LA PAZ 34 1 9(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
20N 110W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
25N 115W 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 16(22) 14(36) X(36) X(36)
25N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
25N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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