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Hurricane LORENA


ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE LORENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152019               
1500 UTC FRI SEP 20 2019                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LORENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
PUNTA EUGENIA  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
P ABREOJOS     34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   3( 6)   4(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 87   6(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 50   9(59)   1(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 15   6(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34 64   5(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)
SAN JOSE CABO  50 17   5(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LA PAZ         34  1   9(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
20N 110W       34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 115W       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
25N 115W       34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)  16(22)  14(36)   X(36)   X(36)
25N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
25N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
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