ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Lorena Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP152019
1000 AM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019

...TROPICAL STORM LORENA FORMS JUST SOUTH OF MEXICO...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 100.0W
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM SSE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch from
Zihuatanejo to Cabo Corrientes.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Zihuatanejo to Cabo Corrientes

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lorena was
located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 100.0 West. Lorena is
moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A northwestward
motion at a slightly slower speed is expected for the next couple
of days. Lorena is expected to move near the southwest coast of
Mexico by Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is anticipated during the next couple of days
as Lorena approaches the coast of Mexico.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area by late Wednesday or early Thursday.

RAINFALL:  Lorena is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 6 inches with maximum amounts of 10 inches
along the coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero,
Michoaca, Colima and Jalisco.  This rainfall may produce life
threatening flash floods and mudslides.

SURF:  Swells generated by Lorena will affect portions of the
southwest coast of Mexico during the next few days.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

NNNN