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TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132019
1500 UTC MON SEP 23 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 135.8W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 135.8W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 135.5W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.4N 136.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.6N 138.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.0N 139.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.6N 140.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.7N 143.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 19.3N 145.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 135.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY


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