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TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132019
2100 UTC SAT SEP 21 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 131.6W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE  20SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  30SE  45SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 131.6W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 131.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.4N 132.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.5N 133.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.9N 134.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.1N 135.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.3N 137.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 19.0N 138.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 17.7N 139.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 131.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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