Hurricane KIKO

ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132019
0300 UTC SUN SEP 15 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 120.1W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 120.1W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 119.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.0N 121.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.2N 122.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.6N 123.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.8N 124.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.2N 126.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 18.5N 128.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 18.5N 130.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 120.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY


NNNN