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TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132019
1500 UTC SAT SEP 14 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 118.3W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 118.3W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 117.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.6N 119.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.9N 120.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.3N 122.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.8N 123.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.6N 125.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 20.3N 128.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 20.7N 131.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 118.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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