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HURRICANE JULIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112019
2100 UTC WED SEP 04 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 117.8W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 117.8W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 117.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.0N 118.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.1N 120.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.1N 122.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.0N 124.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 23.6N 128.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 23.2N 131.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 22.8N 135.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 117.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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