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TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102019
0300 UTC SAT AUG 24 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 115.5W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 120SE 150SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 115.5W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 115.3W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 21.6N 116.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 120SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.3N 116.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  60SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 25.1N 117.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.6N 118.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 28.6N 118.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 115.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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