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TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102019
0900 UTC FRI AUG 23 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 114.5W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 100SE  80SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 114.5W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 114.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.0N 115.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE  80SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.5N 116.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 22.0N 116.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 24.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 27.5N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 114.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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