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Tropical Depression HENRIETTE


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Tropical Depression Henriette Discussion Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP092019
200 AM PDT Tue Aug 13 2019

Deep convection associated with Henriette dissipated shortly after
the release of the previous advisory, with the cyclone becoming a
swirl of low- to mid-level clouds.  Recent scatterometer data
indicate that the winds associated with the cyclone have weakened
quickly and these data support an initial intensity of 25 kt.
Henriette is heading toward cooler waters and a more stable
environment and it is unlikely that organized deep convection will
return.  As a result, the system will continue to quickly weaken and
it is expected to degenerate into a remnant low later today.

The depression is being steered west-northwestward at about 11 kt
to the south of a low- to mid-level ridge.  The low-level ridge is
forecast to remain intact during the next day or so and Henriette
or its remnants should continue on a west-northwestward heading
until dissipation occurs on Wednesday.  The new NHC track forecast
is near the middle of the guidance envelope and is essentially an
update of the previous advisory.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  13/0900Z 21.1N 115.2W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  13/1800Z 21.5N 116.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  14/0600Z 22.0N 119.1W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  14/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown

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