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Tropical Storm FLOSSIE


ZCZC HFOPWSCP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  29          
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP072019         
1500 UTC SUN AUG 04 2019                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 147.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
20N 150W       34 47  10(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
20N 150W       50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
20N 151W       34  8  42(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
20N 151W       50  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BUOY 51004     34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 154W       34  X   5( 5)  26(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
20N 154W       50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
20N 154W       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
21N 156W       34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  13(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
21N 156W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HANA           34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  11(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
HANA           50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
21N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BIRCHARD                                                 
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