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TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072019
1500 UTC FRI AUG 02 2019

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 137.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 140W       34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

20N 140W       34 10   6(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

15N 145W       34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

20N 145W       34  X   6( 6)  39(45)   4(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
20N 145W       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  25(32)   X(32)   X(32)
20N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
20N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  22(25)   1(26)   X(26)
20N 151W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
20N 151W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)   X(11)

HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)

KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)

LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

26N 159W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/RAMOS
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