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TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072019
1500 UTC FRI AUG 02 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 137.8W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  30SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 135SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 137.8W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 137.1W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.6N 140.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.3N 142.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.9N 145.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.3N 147.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.9N 152.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 24.5N 155.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 29.0N 155.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 137.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/RAMOS


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