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TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072019
0900 UTC THU AUG 01 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 130.2W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 130.2W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 129.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.3N 132.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.0N 135.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.7N 138.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.4N 141.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.5N 146.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE   0SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 19.5N 151.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.0N 155.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 130.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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