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HURRICANE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072019
0900 UTC WED JUL 31 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 124.4W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 124.4W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 123.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 14.1N 126.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.8N 128.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.5N 131.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.1N 134.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.2N 139.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 18.5N 150.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 124.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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