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HURRICANE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072019
2100 UTC TUE JUL 30 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 121.3W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  75SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 121.3W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 120.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 12.7N 123.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 13.4N 125.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.2N 128.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.0N 130.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.3N 136.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  70SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 17.3N 142.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 18.1N 147.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 121.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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