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TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072019
0300 UTC TUE JUL 30 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 117.8W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 117.8W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 117.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 12.4N 119.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 12.8N 122.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 13.3N 125.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 14.1N 127.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.9N 133.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 17.4N 139.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 18.5N 144.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 117.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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