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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072019
1500 UTC SUN JUL 28 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 107.5W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 107.5W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 106.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 11.8N 110.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 12.1N 113.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 12.1N 116.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 12.0N 119.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 12.5N 124.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 13.5N 130.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 15.0N 135.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 107.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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