ZCZC HFOPWSCP1 ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM
HURRICANE ERICK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062019
0900 UTC WED JUL 31 2019
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
15N 150W 34 7 89(96) 2(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
15N 150W 50 1 73(74) 8(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
15N 150W 64 X 46(46) 10(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
20N 150W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 151W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BUOY 51004 34 X 3( 3) 31(34) 7(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42)
BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
20N 154W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
15N 155W 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 38(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49)
15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14)
15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
18N 156W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) 13(34) X(34) X(34)
18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16)
21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 37(44) 1(45) X(45)
BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12)
BUOY 51002 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11)
20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9)
21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16) X(16)
22N 164W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14)
$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON
NNNN
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