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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Erick Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062019
500 PM HST Sun Jul 28 2019

...ERICK STRENGTHENING, EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON MONDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.7N 133.1W
ABOUT 1560 MI...2515 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erick was
located near latitude 11.7 North, longitude 133.1 West.  Erick is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue through Monday.  A turn to the west-northwest
and a slower forward speed is expected to start on Tuesday and last
through Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Rapid strengthening is forecast during the next
48 hours, with Erick likely becoming a hurricane on Monday, and
potentially a major hurricane on Tuesday.  Some weakening is
forecast on Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Blake

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