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TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062019
0900 UTC FRI AUG 02 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 155.8W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE  75SE 130SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 155.8W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 155.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.8N 157.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.4N 159.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.3N 161.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.3N 163.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.1N 166.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.0N 167.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 155.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA
 
 
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