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TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062019
0300 UTC FRI AUG 02 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 154.5W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE 150SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 154.5W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 154.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.3N 156.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 16.9N 159.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.7N 161.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.6N 163.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.6N 165.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 21.9N 167.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 22.4N 168.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 154.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER WROE
 
 
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