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HURRICANE ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062019
0900 UTC WED JUL 31 2019
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 146.3W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 80SE 40SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 146.3W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 145.8W
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 14.6N 147.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 15.2N 150.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.8N 152.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.3N 155.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 30SE 20SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.4N 159.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.9N 163.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 166.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 146.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON
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