NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER

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HURRICANE ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062019
2100 UTC TUE JUL 30 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 144.1W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER   5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 144.1W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 143.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 14.2N 145.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 14.9N 147.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 15.3N 150.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.8N 152.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.8N 157.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 18.5N 162.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 20.0N 165.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 144.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD
 
 
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