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HURRICANE ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062019
1500 UTC TUE JUL 30 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 142.8W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 150SE 120SW 190NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 142.8W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 142.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 14.0N 144.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 14.8N 146.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 15.4N 148.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 15.9N 150.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.6N 155.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 17.5N 160.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.0N 164.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 142.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON
 
 
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