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TROPICAL STORM BARBARA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022019
0900 UTC MON JUL 01 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 115.8W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 120SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 115.8W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 115.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 11.5N 117.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 11.9N 120.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 12.4N 122.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.0N 124.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.5N 128.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 16.3N 132.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 17.2N 136.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 115.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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