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TROPICAL STORM SEBASTIEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202019
2100 UTC THU NOV 21 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  59.7W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  59.7W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  60.1W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 25.5N  57.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  80SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 27.9N  53.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE  90SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 30.6N  48.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 160SE 120SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 33.5N  43.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 140SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 39.0N  31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 150SE 120SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N  59.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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