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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152019
0300 UTC TUE OCT 15 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION SINCE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE
REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  20.8W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  20.8W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  20.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.5N  21.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.8N  22.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.1N  23.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.3N  24.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.6N  27.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N  20.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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