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BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Melissa Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142019
1100 PM AST Fri Oct 11 2019

...MELISSA GRADUALLY PULLING AWAY FROM THE U.S. MID-ATLANTIC AND
NEW ENGLAND COASTS...
...COASTAL FLOODING STILL EXPECTED IN SOME AREAS ON SATURDAY AROUND
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.7N 68.8W
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM SSE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 125 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal tropical cyclone watches or warnings in effect.

For information on wind and coastal flooding hazards, see products
issued by your local National Weather Service office at weather.gov.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Melissa
was located near latitude 37.7 North, longitude 68.8 West.  Melissa
is moving toward the southeast near 6 mph (9 km/h).  A turn toward
the east is expected on Saturday, followed by a gradual increase in
forward speed late Saturday through Monday.  On the forecast track,
Melissa will gradually move away from the U.S. Mid-Atlantic and New
England coasts.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Melissa
is expected to become a remnant low by Saturday night or early
Sunday.

Winds of 40 mph or greater extend outward over waters up to 275
miles (445 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Wind gusts to 40 mph are possible across portions of Cape
Cod, Martha's Vineyard, and Nantucket overnight.

COASTAL FLOODING:  Minor to moderate coastal flooding will occur
along some portions of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic and southeastern New
England coast on Saturday around times of high tide.

SURF:  Swells generated by Melissa are affecting much of the U.S.
east coast, portions of the Bahamas, Bermuda, and Atlantic Canada.
These swells will result in life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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