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BULLETIN
Hurricane Lorenzo Advisory Number  35
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
1100 PM AST Mon Sep 30 2019

...LORENZO MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND GROWING IN SIZE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.0N 41.2W
ABOUT 840 MI...1350 KM WSW OF FAIAL ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Flores, Corvo, Faial, Pico, Sao Jorge, Graciosa, Terceira

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Miguel, Santa Maria

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lorenzo was
located near latitude 32.0 North, longitude 41.2 West. Lorenzo is
moving toward the northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h). The hurricane
should move in the same general direction but at a faster forward
speed during the next few days.  On the forecast track, the center
of Lorenzo is expected to pass near the western Azores early on
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Only slight weakening is anticipated before Lorenzo moves
near the Azores, with faster weakening expected on Thursday.

Lorenzo is a very large tropical cyclone.  Hurricane-force winds
extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center and
tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345 miles (555 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 956 mb (28.23 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Lorenzo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning
area early Wednesday morning, with tropical storm conditions
beginning Tuesday night.  Tropical storm conditions are expected in
the tropical storm warning area by early Wednesday.

RAINFALL:  Lorenzo is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) over the western Azores and up to 1
inch (25 mm) over the central Azores Tuesday and Wednesday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Lorenzo are spreading across much of the
North Atlantic basin.  These swells are likely to cause life-
threatening surf and rip current conditions, especially across the
Azores. Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Blake

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