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BULLETIN
Hurricane Lorenzo Advisory Number  30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
500 PM AST Sun Sep 29 2019

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND LORENZO WEAKER BUT STILL A LARGE AND
POWERFUL HURRICANE...
...WATCHES COULD BE ISSUED FOR THE AZORES LATER TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.9N 44.2W
ABOUT 1260 MI...2025 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...28.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of Lorenzo.
Watches could be issued for those islands later today or tonight.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lorenzo was
located near latitude 26.9 North, longitude 44.2 West. Lorenzo is
moving toward the north-northeast near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn to
the northeast is expected on Monday with a gradual increase in
forward speed through Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Lorenzo is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Gradual weakening is expected over the next
couple of days, but Lorenzo is expected to remain a large hurricane
throughout that time.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 255
miles (405 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the NOAA
reconnaissance aircraft is 948 mb (28.00 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Lorenzo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

RAINFALL:  Lorenzo is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 3 to 6 inches over much of the western Azores and 1 to 2 inches
over the central Azores Tuesday and Wednesday.  This rainfall could
cause life-threatening flash flooding in the western Azores.

SURF:  Swells generated by Lorenzo are spreading across much of the
North Atlantic basin.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Latto

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