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HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
2100 UTC TUE OCT 01 2019
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORES...CORVO...FAIAL...PICO...SAO JORGE...GRACIOSA...TERCEIRA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO MIGUEL...SANTA MARIA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.0N  35.5W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  25 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT.......150NE 170SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT.......270NE 300SE 240SW 270NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 540SE 540SW 720NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.0N  35.5W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.9N  36.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 40.2N  31.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  80NW.
50 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 140NW.
34 KT...270NE 300SE 240SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 45.6N  24.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 110SE 100SW  60NW.
50 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.
34 KT...270NE 300SE 270SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 51.2N  18.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...100NE 120SE 110SW  60NW.
50 KT...160NE 180SE 180SW  90NW.
34 KT...300NE 330SE 330SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 54.4N  13.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 160SE 160SW  60NW.
34 KT...250NE 300SE 330SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 53.2N   3.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE 150SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.0N  35.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 02/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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